
February 17th, 2026
If you listen to the loudest voices in the AI debate, the future of work sounds binary: either explosive productivity or widespread unemployment.
Reality is more nuanced — and more strategic.
Artificial intelligence is not eliminating most jobs. It is redesigning them, one task at a time.
The wrong question is, “Will this role be replaced?”
The right question is, “Which tasks inside this role are automatable — and which are not?”
Research in MIT Sloan Management Review describes AI’s advance as uneven — a “jagged frontier” where certain activities accelerate quickly while others stall
AI thrives on structured, repetitive tasks. It struggles where judgment, empathy, accountability, and low error tolerance are required.
Across industries, automation follows a predictable arc:
Most professions today are in the middle stage.
Consider aviation. Autopilot systems have reshaped the cockpit for decades. Yet two pilots remain, not because machines lack capability, but because regulation, trust, and zero error tolerance demand human presence
The same dynamic plays out in medicine, finance, and law.
The friction isn’t just technical. It’s human and institutional.
For executives, this reframes workforce strategy.
Planning around headcount reduction misses the point. Competitive advantage will come from mapping tasks — identifying where AI can absorb repetitive work and where human value must move higher up the chain.
As AI handles execution, people become more valuable for judgment, integration, and relationship management. The winners will be organizations that deliberately redesign roles rather than defensively protect or prematurely eliminate them.
The greatest risk isn’t sudden job extinction. It’s leadership miscalibration — overreacting to headlines or underestimating gradual transformation already underway.
AI will not replace most jobs outright.
But it will reshape nearly all of them.
The companies that understand that distinction will shape the future of work, rather than reacting to it.
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JP Van Steerteghem
Mail me at [email protected]
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